Pablo Ibieta
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causal-inference (1)
cmi-framework (3)
information-theory (4)
machine-learning (3)
meta (1)
simulation (2)
statistics (1)

Pablo Ibieta

Notes on data science, machine learning, physics, information theory, econometrics, and causal inference.

Should I retrain my score, ensemble it, or both?

information-theory
machine-learning
cmi-framework
You already have a score in production and you’ve retrained it. Should you replace the old one, or keep both and build an ensemble? At first glance those sound like the same question. They are not. On Lending Club, they give opposite answers.
Jun 26, 2026
16 min

Is my model’s score portable to a different target?

information-theory
machine-learning
causal-inference
cmi-framework
A conditional-mutual-information diagnostic for the question every data scientist that trains a binary classifier eventually faces: does the score I trained on one target still know something about a related target or is the apparent cross-target performance just an artifact of label overlap?
May 17, 2026
19 min

Conditional mutual information is just log-loss gain

information-theory
machine-learning
simulation
cmi-framework
Two models, a subtraction, and you’ve estimated an information-theoretic quantity. The identity that makes CMI cheap to compute — and the first post in a short series on the CMI framework.
May 3, 2026
10 min

Welcome

meta
What this blog is for, and how it’s put together.
May 2, 2026
1 min

Mutual information sees what correlation can’t

information-theory
statistics
simulation
A short note on why mutual information is the right generalization of Pearson correlation — and a simulation that shows the gap.
May 2, 2026
3 min
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